Betting odds review - for Live Show 1
19 October 2007, 11:25PM
Ahead of Live Show 1 this Saturday (20 October) the betting odds for the twelve acts are as follows (odds from PaddyPower).
PLEASE NOTE: Always check with your local bookmaker and/or relevant sources for the most current and accurate betting odds for all of the following before placing bets. The following odds are correct at time of the preparation of this article and may now be outdated. The X Factor Access accepts no liability for errors that may result.
In order of favourite to win the contest:
DANIEL DEBOURG - 4/1
FUTUREPROOF - 4/1
LEON JACKSON - 5/1
HOPE - 6/1
ANDY WILLIAMS - 6/1
BEVERLEY TROTMAN - 9/1
EMILY NAKANDA - 9/1
ALISHA BENNETT - 12/1
KIMBERLEY SOUTHWICK - 16/1
NIKI EVANS - 20/1
RHYDIAN ROBERTS - 22/1
SAME DIFFERENCE - 33/1
Overall odds for the first evictee (most likely first):
SAME DIFFERENCE - 9/4
RHYDIAN ROBERTS - 7/2
NIKI EVANS - 6/1
ALISHA BENNETT - 6/1
KIMBERLEY SOUTHWICK - 8/1
BEVERLEY TROTMAN - 8/1
EMILY NAKANDA - 12/1
HOPE - 16/1
LEON JACKSON - 20/1
ANDY WILLIAMS - 20/1
DANIEL DEBOURG - 20/1
FUTUREPROOF - 25/1
Overall odds for the winning judge this series (odds from SkyBet, most likely first):
DANNII MINOGUE - 7/4
SIMON COWELL - 15/8
LOUIS WALSH - 3/1
SHARON OSBOURNE - 4/1
Overall odds for the winner in each category (most likely first):
Boys:
LEON JACKSON - 10/11
ANDY WILLIAMS - 5/4
RHYDIAN ROBERTS - 6/1
Girls:
EMILY NAKANDA - 11/10
ALISHA BENNETT - 7/4
KIMBERLEY SOUTHWICK - 5/2
25 and over:
DANIEL DEBOURG - 8/15
BEVERLEY SOUTHWICK - 9/4
NIKI EVANS - 11/2
Groups:
FUTUREPROOF - 4/6
HOPE - 11/8
SAME DIFFERENCE - 10/1
Here are some special odds:
- The winner of The X Factor 2007 will become the Christmas music singles chart No.1 (according to BBC Radio 1)- 1/4
- Louis Walsh will quit The X Factor as a judge before the final night and not return to the show - 4/1
- Sharon Osbourne to throw a glass of water over Louis Walsh - 6/1
- Sharon Osbourne to slap Simon Cowell in the face - 6/1
- Simon Cowell to swear during a live show - 8/1
- Simon Cowell to cry during a performance on the live shows - 10/1
- Simon Cowell to start dating Dannii Minogue by New Year's Day of 2008 - 10/1
- One of the finalists to quit The X Factor of his/her own accord and not return to the show - 10/1
- Danni Minogue and Sharon Osbourne to have a catfight - 12/1
- Simon Cowell to label the 2007 series of The X Factor: "The worst yet" - 12/1
- Simon Cowell and Louis Walsh to perform live - 25/1
- Sharon Osbourne to do a full striptease to her underwear live - 33/1
- ITV to axe The X Factor before the 2007 series final - 40/1
Summary
With the advent of the first live show it is obviously very difficult to make a concrete judgement as to who is likely to walk away smiling at the end of the series, and one can only speculate lightly on who will be leaving the series this Saturday. Early indications suggest a healthy contest for Daniel Debourg who has been pitched favourite to win The X Factor 2007 for over the past week. Strengths for Daniel appear to come from his image, personality and singing voice and if these do prove popular with the public, he could be in for a smooth ride in the competition. However, Daniel is not safe, as potentially the groups have a stronghold this year with two favoured a good chance to win the series: Futureproof and Hope, reports suggesting their resemblance to mainstream bands and therefore popular acceptance. Of the 14-24 categories, Leon Jackson has a good position amongst those to win the series too. Looking at the bottom end, Same Difference are most likely seen to be leaving the series first with suggestions that such a duet arrangement might not be popularly accepted, but they could easily prove people wrong if they deliver on the night. Rhydian Roberts is not far off from being likely to face the chop, possibly fueled by the recent reports of negative exposure of the finalist by earlier shows. But once again, Rhydian can prove all wrong and come up with a good performance that gets him through to the next stage. From the point of view of winning judge, all the odds are based on the chances of success and survival of the respective judges' finalists. Dannii Minogue and Simon Cowell have the healthiest odds thanks to the strength of Leon Jackson and the five piece groups respectively. Louis Walsh is not that far behind thanks to the overall lead of Daniel Debourg. Sharon Osbourne languishes at this early stage simply because none of her acts are favoured overall to win the series - but this could all change.
It is important to point out at this stage of the competition that there is all to play for. The first live show will showcase the finalists talent and ability to deliver a live performance for the first time. The big questions are will the favourites live up to their expected performances? And will the outsiders show they've got more to give than the odds would give them credit for at this time?
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